Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.000103 0.000115 0.000129 0.000143 0.000160 0.000178 0.000199
2024-10-20 0.000086 0.000103 0.000122 0.000144 0.000172 0.000203 0.000241
2024-10-27 0.000074 0.000093 0.000116 0.000146 0.000182 0.000227 0.000285
2024-11-03 0.000064 0.000084 0.000109 0.000144 0.000189 0.000246 0.000324
2024-11-10 0.000057 0.000079 0.000107 0.000146 0.000201 0.000272 0.000375
2024-11-17 0.000050 0.000072 0.000102 0.000145 0.000207 0.000292 0.000418
2024-11-24 0.000046 0.000068 0.000099 0.000146 0.000215 0.000314 0.000466
2024-12-01 0.000041 0.000063 0.000094 0.000144 0.000220 0.000332 0.000509
2024-12-08 0.000037 0.000058 0.000091 0.000143 0.000225 0.000350 0.000554
2024-12-15 0.000034 0.000055 0.000088 0.000143 0.000231 0.000370 0.000603
2024-12-22 0.000031 0.000052 0.000086 0.000143 0.000238 0.000391 0.000656
2024-12-29 0.000029 0.000050 0.000084 0.000143 0.000245 0.000413 0.000710
2025-01-05 0.000026 0.000047 0.000081 0.000142 0.000249 0.000431 0.000763
2025-01-12 0.000024 0.000045 0.000079 0.000143 0.000258 0.000457 0.000831
2025-01-19 0.000023 0.000043 0.000078 0.000144 0.000266 0.000484 0.000903
2025-01-26 0.000021 0.000040 0.000075 0.000142 0.000270 0.000502 0.000959
2025-02-02 0.000020 0.000039 0.000074 0.000145 0.000281 0.000535 0.001048
2025-02-09 0.000018 0.000037 0.000072 0.000144 0.000286 0.000556 0.001115
2025-02-16 0.000017 0.000036 0.000071 0.000144 0.000293 0.000583 0.001195
2025-02-23 0.000016 0.000034 0.000069 0.000142 0.000296 0.000601 0.001259
2025-03-02 0.000015 0.000032 0.000067 0.000141 0.000300 0.000622 0.001331
2025-03-09 0.000014 0.000031 0.000065 0.000141 0.000306 0.000646 0.001412
2025-03-16 0.000013 0.000030 0.000064 0.000141 0.000312 0.000673 0.001499